Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 57.643248 65.728105 74.034194 83.170893 92.905805 102.937100 114.024437
2025-11-16 45.540613 57.083461 69.525284 83.789329 99.556349 116.331617 135.412503
2025-11-23 37.343419 50.548324 65.326965 82.794033 102.603544 124.134466 149.079298
2025-11-30 32.346303 46.875122 63.670458 84.022839 107.575911 133.595458 164.154593
2025-12-07 28.517083 44.055892 62.557277 85.471710 112.447021 142.649131 178.512822
2025-12-14 24.201397 40.147477 59.750620 84.586082 114.330369 148.074069 188.570464
2025-12-21 20.167407 36.156863 56.489581 82.847380 114.952630 151.837376 196.547515
2025-12-28 18.832718 35.603717 57.415628 86.110141 121.432582 162.328857 212.201749
2026-01-04 17.061601 34.255556 57.182239 87.824214 125.965647 170.481952 225.106840
2026-01-11 14.684227 31.791413 55.306732 87.326302 127.695657 175.242807 233.992621
2026-01-18 12.612767 29.551717 53.566176 86.866234 129.365590 179.850514 242.632376
2026-01-25 11.034408 27.896249 52.500197 87.180896 131.919847 185.459380 252.407278
2026-02-01 9.261424 25.735800 50.621220 86.369146 133.047623 189.369702 260.225206
2026-02-08 7.952615 24.192192 49.518946 86.516666 135.337500 194.659739 269.672744
2026-02-15 6.542995 22.254368 47.701901 85.592337 136.178660 198.120928 276.883250
2026-02-22 5.785276 21.433529 47.494712 86.827485 139.767248 204.934212 288.110348
2026-03-01 5.157143 20.777493 47.488343 88.306204 143.649510 212.097811 299.756022
2026-03-08 4.149490 19.139630 45.839942 87.403666 144.365072 215.296449 306.572373
2026-03-15 3.143235 17.252069 43.652325 85.632781 143.861018 216.918635 311.427119
2026-03-22 3.029838 17.513099 44.996601 88.955874 150.127216 227.032522 326.657906
2026-03-29 2.698865 17.151142 45.268225 90.701251 154.278697 234.486144 338.638293
2026-04-05 2.115055 15.949488 44.037867 90.194275 155.374808 238.064142 345.851271
2026-04-12 1.623058 14.831837 42.871012 89.725811 156.484087 241.632256 353.033255